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Add EEAI, the Economic Effects of AI dashboard - #50

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elsehow merged 2 commits into
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feat/eeai-v0
Nov 12, 2026
Merged

elsehow merged 2 commits into
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feat/eeai-v0

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@elsehow elsehow commented Nov 12, 2026

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What

EEAI, the Economic Effects of AI dashboard: FRI's "Economic Effects of AI" expert survey asked of the standing model panel, as a second dashboard in this repository. It builds on the shared panel merged in #49.

Everything is in one directory, eeai/, which imports nothing of AIRO's. Outside it EEAI uses only the harness (the panel, the Baseline condition, the agent loop, search) and the repository's Epoch snapshots. Start with eeai/README.md.

  • Instrument (eeai-survey-v2). The survey's AI progress questions and its 15 economic questions, each unconditionally and under the three AI scenarios, at the survey's dates (2030, 2050) and at the beginning of 2027, 2028 and 2029, which FRI added so forecasts resolve sooner: 396 numbers and a rationale per question. One agentic call per model answers all of it. FRI's own pages are blocked from search, because the human panel's answers are published there.
  • Commands. python3 -m eeai prompt prints the prompt and calls nothing; run asks the panel (paid); build writes a self-contained site folder (the page, the data download, the logo) from the run files.
  • Page. Each question's record and the panel's median forecasts, unconditional or conditional on AI progress; a forecast-history view per chart area; tooltips that show each model's answer beside the panel median; full-screen details for the small charts; and, once the record reaches a date, that date's forecast beside its outcome.

Not in git

FRI's survey documents (eeai/data/questions.json and history.csv are generated from them by eeai/make_questions.py), the run files, the built site, and the licensed fonts.

Not done yet

  • No schedule and no production job; the site folder is copied by hand to where it is shown.
  • Nothing refreshes the record (eeai/data/history.csv ends in early 2025), so no forecast can show as resolved yet.

Tests

eeai/tests (registered in pyproject.toml): the question set, the prompt, the cleaning, runs without calls, the page's data, the download and the site folder. Elsewhere the PR only touches pyproject.toml, .gitignore and two README lines.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

codex and others added 2 commits November 12, 2026 00:14
A second dashboard beside AIRO, in one self-contained directory (eeai/): FRI's
"Economic Effects of AI" expert survey asked of the standing model panel under
the Baseline condition, both from the harness. EEAI imports nothing of AIRO's.

- The instrument (eeai-survey-v2): the survey's AI progress questions and its
  15 economic questions, each unconditionally and under the three AI
  scenarios, at the survey's dates (2030, 2050) and at the beginning of 2027,
  2028 and 2029, which FRI added so forecasts resolve sooner. One agentic call
  per model answers all of it; FRI's own pages are blocked from search.
- python3 -m eeai prompt | run | build: print the prompt (no calls), ask the
  panel (paid), and build the site folder (the page, the data download, the
  logo) from the run files.
- The page: each question's record and the panel's median forecasts, split by
  scenario or not; a forecast-history view per chart area; and, once the
  record reaches a date, that date's forecast beside its outcome.
- eeai/data/questions.json and history.csv are generated from FRI's survey
  documents by eeai/make_questions.py; the documents, the run files, the built
  site and the licensed fonts are not tracked.

eeai/README.md says what is asked, how, and what is still open (a schedule,
refreshing the record so forecasts can resolve).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.2 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The modal fades in and out, the control just used presses in, and the
forecasts (not the record or the axes) fade in when a control redraws a
chart. All of it is off under prefers-reduced-motion.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.2 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@elsehow
elsehow merged commit f1e8d4b into main Nov 12, 2026
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2 participants